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THE LATEST ANALYTICS creased, driven primarily by in- creased apartment demand. The mortgage payment for a median- priced home is now less than the median asking rent, making buying a more attractive choice in many parts of the nation. This follows a separate report from Zillow that also suggested buying is the less costly option. As housing markets stabilize, drop in areas still flooded with foreclosed properties, including Atlanta (down 17.4 percent), Las Vegas (down 7.4 percent), and Memphis (down 4.7 percent). Rent prices have also in- However, prices continued to the demand from first-time buy- ers is expected to pick up. In any event, the increased affordability of buying will likely push home prices upward as demand rises. Fiserv advised investors to Will Home Prices Rise over Next Two Years? Fiserv's recent findings on home prices show that increases in the market may be imminent. S housing prices to start climbing, according to Fiserv, Inc. The company lately released hrinking inventory and shifts in sales composition have provided a foothold for its Case-Shiller Home Price Insights, showing that after six years of decline, home prices are finally starting to stabilize. Prices increased in 40 percent of the surveyed 384 metro areas in the first quarter of 2012, and the report showed that it's actu- ally cheaper to buy than rent in many U.S. markets. Single-family home prices are expected to fall another 1 percent in the next year, Fiserv Case-Shiller forecasts a 5 percent increase in the first quarters of 2013 and 2014. Fiserv chief economist David Stiff attributed the price increas- es to a rapidly falling inventory. "Inventories of single-family homes have dropped below 2.5 million units, the lowest levels since 2004. This shrinking sup- ply of unsold homes is nudging home prices upward in selected markets," said Stiff. "However, negative equity increased in 151 out of 384 metro areas in the first quarter of the year compared with the same time in 2011. While average U.S. home prices fell by 1.9 percent on a year-over-year basis and 62 | THE M REPORT M "Many positive equity home- owners are also keeping their houses off of the market, waiting for price increases to boost their selling profits." In addition, the changing composition of unsold invento- ries and homes sold appears to be providing a boost to prices in some areas. In many crash mar- kets, the share of foreclosed sales is shrinking as banks promote short sales and investors grab up repossessed homes. As a result, heavily discounted remains a factor constraining supply in some markets, since many underwater homeowners cannot come up with the cash to cover the difference between their outstanding mortgage bal- ances and the current market value of their homes," he added. kets posted price gains, includ- ing Detroit (8.6 percent up) and Miami (6.4 percent up). sales are making up a smaller percentage of overall sales, resulting in an upward swing in prices even in relatively flat markets. Many of the hardest-hit mar- look West for price appreciation, as eight of the top 10 markets projected to grow at the fast- est rate in the next year are in Western states, including Oregon, Idaho, California, and Washington. Of course, much of this fore- omy presents the biggest risk to the housing market," said Stiff. "The economic recovery has stalled each spring/summer dur- ing the last three years, and last summer's economic stumble was accompanied by a sharp decline in consumer confidence, which cut into home sales activity and pushed home prices down a little further. If confidence were to drop by a similar amount this year, either because of the monetary crisis in Europe or the political impasse in Washington, D.C., then we could experience another downward leg in home prices." He added: "However, given casted growth may be thrown off track if economic conditions deteriorate. "The state of the overall econ- that owner-occupied housing is incredibly cheap historically and falling confidence would be accompanied by lower mortgage interest rates, we may be at a point where housing markets can finally withstand a weak economy." SECONDARY MARKET ANALYTICS SERVICING ORIGINATION