TheMReport — News and strategies for the evolving mortgage marketplace.
Issue link: http://digital.themreport.com/i/1472906
50 | M REPORT O R I G I NAT I O N S E R V I C I N G DATA G O V E R N M E N T S E C O N DA R Y M A R K E T THE LATEST DATA Median Sales Price Surpass Record $400k While existing-home sales fell 3.4% in May, median sale prices exceeded $400,000 for the first time, representing a nearly 15% increase from 2021. E xisting-home sales retreated for the fourth consecutive month in May, according to the National Association of Real- tors (NAR). Month-over-month sales declined in three out of four major U.S. regions, while year-over-year sales slipped in all four regions. Total existing-home sales—com- pleted transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums, and co-ops—fell 3.4% from April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.41 mil- lion in May. Year over year, sales receded 8.6% to approximately 5.92 million in May 2021. "Home sales have essentially returned to the levels seen in 2019—prior to the pandemic—after two years of gangbuster perfor- mance," NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said. "Also, the market movements of single- family and condominium sales are nearly equal, possibly implying that the preference towards subur- ban living over city life that had been present over the past two years is fading with a return to pre-pandemic conditions." Total housing inventory reg- istered at the end of May was 1,160,000 units, an increase of 12.6% from April, and a 4.1% decline from the previous year at 1.21 million. Unsold inventory sits at a 2.6-month supply at the current sales pace, up from 2.2 months in April and 2.5 months in May 2021. "Further sales declines should be expected in the upcoming months given housing afford- ability challenges from the sharp rise in mortgage rates this year," Yun added. "Nonetheless, homes priced appropriately are selling quickly and inventory levels still need to rise substantially—almost doubling—to cool home price appreciation and provide more options for home buyers." The median existing-home price for all housing types in May was $407,600, up 14.8% from $355,000 in May 2021, as prices in- creased in all regions. This marks 123 consecutive months of year- over-year increases, the longest- running streak on record. Properties typically remained on the market for 16 days in May, down from 17 days in April and 17 days in May 2021. New data also showed some 88% of homes sold in May 2022 were on the market for less than a month. First-time buyers were responsi- ble for 27% of sales in May, down from 28% in April and down from 31% in May 2021. All-cash sales ac- counted for 25% of transactions in May, down from 26% in April and up from 23% recorded in May 2021. Individual investors or second- home buyers, who make up many cash sales, purchased 16% of homes in May, down from 17% in April and 17% in May 2021. Distressed sales—foreclosures and short sales—represented less than 1% of sales in May, essentially unchanged from April 2022 and May 2021. According to Freddie Mac, the average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage was 5.23% in May, up from 4.98% in April. The average commitment rate across all of 2021 was 2.96%. Realtor.com's Market Trends Report in May shows that the largest year-over-year median list price growth occurred in Miami (+45.9%), Nashville (+32.5%), and Orlando (+32.4%). Austin reported the highest growth in the share of homes that had their prices reduced compared to last year (+14.7 percentage points), followed by Las Vegas (+12.3 percentage points) and Phoenix (+11.6 percent- age points). Single-family home sales declined to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.80 million in May, down 3.6% from 4.98 million in April and down 7.7% from one year ago. The median existing single-family home price was $414,200 in May, up 14.6% from May 2021. Existing condominium and co-op sales were recorded at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 610,000 units in May, down 1.6% from April and down 15.3% from one year ago. The median existing condo price increased an overall 14.8% to $355,700 in May. "Declining home purchases means more people are renting, and the resulting rent price escala- tion may spur more institutional investors to buy single-family homes and turn them into rental properties—placing additional financial strain on prospective first-time homebuyers," said NAR President Leslie Rouda Smith, a Realtor from Plano, Texas, and a broker associate at Dave Perry- Miller Real Estate in Dallas. "To counter this trend, policymakers should consider incentivizing an inventory release to the market by temporarily lowering capital gains taxes for mom-and-pop investors to sell to first-time buyers." Existing-home sales in the Northeast climbed 1.5% in May to an annual rate of 680,000, falling 9.3% from May 2021. The median price in the Northeast was $409,700, a 6.7% rise from one year ago. Existing-home sales in the Midwest dropped 5.3% from the previous month to an annual rate of 1,240,000 in May, slumping 7.5% from May 2021. The median price in the Midwest was $294,500, up 9.5% from one year before. Existing-home sales in the South declined 2.8% in May to an annual rate of 2,410,000, down 8.4% from the previous year. The median price in the South was $375,000, a 20.6% jump from one year ago. For the ninth consecu- tive month, the South recorded the highest pace of price apprecia- tion in comparison to the other three regions. Existing-home sales in the West slid 5.3% compared to the month before to an annual rate of 1,080,000 in May, down 10.0% from this time last year. The median price in the West was $633,800, an increase of 13.3% from May 2021. "Home sales have essentially returned to the levels seen in 2019— prior to the pandemic—after two years of gangbuster performance." —Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist, NAR