TheMReport — News and strategies for the evolving mortgage marketplace.
Issue link: http://digital.themreport.com/i/1484258
M REPORT | 47 O R I G I NAT I O N S E R V I C I N G DATA G O V E R N M E N T S E C O N DA R Y M A R K E T THE LATEST DATA Inventory Levels Creep Upwards "After a sustained period of quick sales that kept the housing cupboard relatively bare, a supply of two months presents a lot more options for homebuyers," said Nick Bailey, RE/MAX President and CEO. W hile the last three years have been anything but typical, the seasonal ebb and flow of the housing market can still be seen, even in today's environment. According to the latest iteration of the RE/MAX National Housing Report covering September 2022, it found that home sales declined 9.7% across the top 53 metropoli- tan areas that are tracked by RE/ MAX. This price drop led to increasing inventory, now up to a two months' supply, a number that has not been seen in nearly two years. According to RE/ MAX, these numbers are an "encouraging" sign of a more bal- anced market to come. The median sales price for the month decreased by 1.2% to an even $400,000; this number is now off 6.1% from the high of $426,100 recorded in June 2022 but is 6.7% higher than numbers recorded a year ago in September 2021. The average close-to-list price ratio during the month was 99%, meaning that homes sold for 1% less than the asking price for the second consecutive month after being at 100% or above through the first seven months of 2022. Inventory has now grown 3.9% since August and 30.4% year over year. New listings were down 7.6% since last month, and down 11.4% year over year, due to homeowners staying put in their homes more due to their current favorable financing. "After a sustained period of quick sales that kept the housing cupboard relatively bare, a supply of two months presents a lot more options for homebuyers," said Nick Bailey, RE/MAX President and CEO. "For a long time, six months of inventory was the standard for a balanced market that favored buyers and sellers evenly." "Now, with the evolution of technology and various changes in homebuying patterns, the new standard is becoming four months," Bailey continued. "We're halfway to that level, and the market is making steady progress toward balance. Home sales are still happening and having the right real estate professional by your side is critical for consumers looking to take advantage of the market conditions." Added Tim Morgan of RE/ MAX Insight in Manchester, Vermont, "We've seen a chang- ing market this fall. While the demand for quality housing is still high, some potential buyers have pumped the brakes on their home search due to recent interest rate hikes. We are seeing an increase in inventory which has created a great opportunity for those who need to sell their home in order to buy. Houses are still selling quickly, but we are just not seeing as much of the 5%+ overbidding as we were this past spring." Other notable metrics include: • September's two months' supply of inventory jumped from 1.6 months in August and 1.3 months a year ago. The National Association of Realtors last reported months' supply of inventory above two in November of 2020, when it was 2.3. • The number of homes for sale has grown in five of the past six months. • Year over year, September home sales were down 23.5%. • Days on Market averaged 34, five days higher than July and six days more than September 2021. Banner Year for Student Housing While rent growth begins to decelerate, a new study found that many universities nationwide are experiencing exceptional growth, as nearly 200 universities with four or more properties analyzed recorded double-digit annual rent growth as of September. T he student housing industry continued to see healthy demand and strong fundamentals to another record-breaking perfor- mance in Q 3 and 2022 overall, according to the new quarterly National Student Housing Report from Yardi Matrix. The fall 2022 pre-leasing period ended in September with 96.6 percent of bedrooms at Yardi 200 universities leased. Annual rent growth was 4.1% as of September. The pace of pre-leasing was faster for selective universities with higher enrollment. But posi- tive performance was widespread among university types across the country. Twelve universities had double-digit growth in pre-leasing levels in September compared to 2021, with Washington State University (18.9% growth) and the University of Houston (16.4%) top- ping the list. At some popular schools with growing enrollments, available student housing supply hasn't been sufficient to house the incoming class. A problem that used to be unique to California schools has now become more widespread. "While student housing rent growth is starting to decelerate, there is still a significant spread between student housing and multifamily rents, which could support continued growth over the next couple of years," states the report. "The impact of multifam- ily rent trends on student housing will be stronger in university areas with a prominent shadow market, given the availability of options within a close radius."